Past Events

February 8, 2013

Why are some societies characterized by enduring democracy, while other societies are either persistently autocratic or experiment with democracy but then quickly fall back into autocracy?  I find that there is a systematic, non-linear relationship between rainfall levels and regime types such that such that stable democracies overwhelmingly cluster in a band of moderate rainfall (540 to 1200 mm of precipitation per year), while the world’s most persistent autocracies cluster in arid environments and rain-forests. This relationship is robust to controls for the resource curse, as well as to controls for ethno-linguistic fractionalization, the percent of the population that is Muslim, disease environment, and colonial heritage. 

February 1, 2013

The means-ends question was a major topic of political debate throughout the twentieth century.  A whole range of Marxist, existentialist, progressive, anarchist, and anticolonial thinking wrestled with the legitimacy and efficacy of new forms of mass political action – such as the boycott or the general strike – as well as the specific question of the use of violence in politics, of what counts as coercion in politics and when it could be deemed permissible and necessary.  In this paper I situate Gandhi’s distinctive understanding of the means-ends question within this context and position Gandhi in relation to Trotsky and Dewey’s famous exchange as well as Weber’s intervention in ‘Politics as A Vocation.’ 

January 25, 2013

This paper argues that Socratic refutations in Plato's dialogues – often isolated and hypostatized as the 'Socratic elenchus' - are best understood in the context of a wider practice of Socratic examination, which is itself motivated by the quest for knowledge.    In Socrates himself, the quest for knowledge is motivated by an innate love of knowledge (part of his philosophical nature as he describes it in a self-portrait in Republic Book VI), and this emotional orientation shapes his own response to refutations that he both experiences and brings about for others.  In his interlocutors, however, lacking such love of knowledge, other emotions and desires often operate to block each possible step of that response — steps which I lay out in sequence.  Thus far from excluding any role for emotion or desire as a widespread misreading of 'Socratic intellectualism' posits, such examinations manifest the destructive role of the emotions in many of the interlocutors while also pointing to their positive role in shaping Socrates' own love of knowledge.  When emotional orientations allow, recognition that one does not possess the knowledge that one had claimed to possess can itself have positive effects in reorienting action and dispositions to act, even while falling short of the ideal conception of full virtue.  The Socratic idea that virtue is knowledge, and that virtue is necessary and sufficient for happiness, allows for virtue-related changes in disposition to arise either from an innate love of knowledge or from the stimulation of a certain response to the recognition that one does not possess knowledge that one had claimed to possess. 

January 25, 2013

We explore how public spending responds to changes in the business cycle. We develop a political economy explanation of pro-cyclical spending where governments' incentives to deviate from a sustainable fiscal policy result from political conflict on the level of redistribution. This distributive conflict forces governments who represent more vulnerable economic actors to engage in more, rather than less, pro-cyclical spending. We assess the plausibility of the argument using data on government spending in Argentina over one hundred years of history. Given the structure of the data we fit an error-correction model and estimate the short-term elasticity of government spending to the business cycle while controlling for the long-term relationship between both series. We supplement the ECM tests with instrumental variables estimations. The results from the ECM and IV models provide support to our political economy
explanation: while democratic governments of all shades run pro-cyclical fiscal policies, the elasticity of public spending to the business cycle is greater under Peronist leaders. Alternative explanations based on ideology, institutions and external conditions seem to play a lesser role.

January 18, 2013

Consider this intuitive idea: If you know that a course of action would be both costly and futile, then you aren’t required to take that course of action. I argue that this intuitive idea is true if properly understood, and that it implies that individuals aren’t required to lower their greenhouse gas emissions by a significant amount, contrary to what many recent commentators have argued. In the course of arguing for this, I analyze the general contours of the ethical significance of futility. The results have important implications, because many important practical questions are tied to situations in which the action of individuals seems futile – for example, whether you are required to contribute to charities that help innocent people who are suffering from easily curable afflictions, whether it is permissible to consume animal products given the terrible way that many animals are treated, and whether it is permissible to consume products that are produced in a way that harms or exploits other people.

January 18, 2013

It is widely believed that multinational corporations favor international market liberalization.  Yet, an unregulated market is not their preferred outcome.  Given their profitability, MNCs are not averse to government use of non-tariff barriers.  The reason is that regulatory barriers have a fixed cost component, affecting smaller, less productive, domestic based exporters more than large multinationals.  Further, the interaction of government and firm interest explains the adoption of a variety of regulatory barriers to trade.  This has important consequences for the likelihood and extent of international cooperation.  I use a newly developed dataset of Technical Barriers to Trade as well as tariff rates from the the GATT Uruguay Round negotiations to show how reciprocal trade negotiators facing globalized production balance the benefits of market access against the interest of multinational firms.

January 11, 2013

The idea that the public justification of democratic decisions is best understood in terms of reasons that could be reasonably accepted by fellow citizens lies at the heart of many contemporary liberal theories of democratic legitimacy. This conception of public justification suggests that legitimate public decisions should rest on reasons that could be accepted and thus shared by all those involved (what Rawls called public reasons). In this paper I suggest that citizens can legitimately address arguments to each other about basic laws and regulations in the absence of shared public reasons.

January 11, 2013

In this paper, I argue that Huntington’s (1991) well-known waves of electoral democracy have triggered and been countervailed by waves of fiscal autocracy.  I document a dramatic increase, from 1875 to 2005, in the number and proportion of the world’s constitutions that mandate executive-favoring budgetary reversions.  After showing that such reversions can in theory eviscerate the legislature’s power of the purse, as traditionally defined, I show that they have several consequences one would expect, were they intended to establish fiscal autocracy.  In particular, governments operating under such reversions have more violent leadership transitions and less credible sovereign debt—controlling for country fixed effects, standard economic predictors of credit-worthiness, and electoral democracy.  Finally, I demonstrate that one’s picture of the progress of democracy over the last century and a half is much different, when one considers not just the executive’s vertical (electoral) accountability but also his/her horizontal accountability (to the legislature).

December 6, 2012

Sharique Hasan is an Assistant Professor of Organizational Behavior at Stanford University’s Graduate School of Business. He studies how informal social networks within and outside organizations form and change, and how they affect people’s career outcomes and the organizations in which their careers develop. His ongoing research includes studies of how entering employees at a professional service firm initially form their social networks as well as how certain network structures help or hurt career outcomes such as turnover and promotion. 

December 5, 2012

Gary W. Cox, Professor of Political Science. In addition to numerous articles in the areas of legislative and electoral politics, Cox is author of The Efficient Secret (winner of the 1983 Samuel H. Beer dissertation prize and the 2003 George H. Hallett Award), co-author of Legislative Leviathan (winner of the 1993 Richard F. Fenno Prize), author of Making Votes Count (winner of the 1998 Woodrow Wilson Foundation Award, the 1998 Luebbert Prize and the 2007 George H. Hallett Award); and co-author of Setting the Agenda (winner of the 2006 Leon D. Epstein Book Award).  A former Guggenheim Fellow, Cox was elected to the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 1996 and the National Academy of Sciences in 2005. Ph.D.